About the Event

How do we restore fire on ecologically significant (and strategic) acres (consistent with NRV) and expand burn duration, and often complexity, when (fire managers and decision makers) are outside the range meteorological predictive capacity to have reliable certainty? This event was hosted by the Fire MOU partnership .

For a summary of forecasting tools, check out this page from the National Wildfire Coordinating Group https://www.nwcg.gov/publications/pms437/weather/forecasts

Agenda
-Presentations and background from panel
-Discussion questions and objectives

• Learn about the state-of-the-art tools for sensing weather patterns and change (ex: Radar, Satellite data, Modeling tools etc.)

• Discuss: How far out can you "see" change coming our way? And when does it move from remote to a higher level of certainty?

• How are weather maps created and labeled (Red Flag Warnings, Wind Gust Forecasts, etc.?)

• What is Climate Change doing to prediction probabilities and impacting "tools" and levels of certainty?

• We know fire trends (more higher severity, larger patch sizes, extended wildfire seasons) are not looking great. What about fire weather i.e., can we expect more east wind events in the spring and especially the fall when we want to burn larger landscapes?

Presentation PDF’s

• Fire Science Program by Tom Rolinski, Southern California Edison, fire scientist (View PDF >)

• Air Quality Forecasting by Dar Mims, Air Pollution Board at California Air Resources Board (View PDF >)

• Predictive Services by John “Brent” Watcher, US Forest Service (links in comments of PDF) (View PDF >)